Comparative Studies of Climate Effects on Polar and Sub-Polar Ecosystems:
 Progress in Observation and Prediction
May 22-26, 2011, Seattle, WA, USA
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Session 3
Modeling marine ecosystem dynamics in high latitude regions


Enrique Curchitser (USA)
Geir Huse (Norway)
Shin-ichi Ito (Japan)

Invited Speakers:

Diane Lavoie (Canada) - presents on May 25, Plenary Session
Takeshi Okunishi (Japan) - presents on May 25, Plenary Session
Dag Slagstad (Norway) - presents on May 25, Plenary Session

This session will highlight different approaches to modeling the impacts of climate variability on high latitude marine ecosystems and their ability to support sustainable ecosystem services. Papers on different types of models will be accepted including mass-balance (ECOPATH) models, size-based models, rule-of-thumb approaches, minimalist models, individual based models (IBMs) and end-to-end models. Special emphasis will be placed on models that examine trophic interactions as well as models that link biogeochemical processes with higher trophic level production. Papers on methods for estimating uncertainties in model predictions are also encouraged.

Seth Danielson, Enrique N. Curchitser, Kate Hedstrom and Tom Weingartner
Evaluation of a numerical model and application of results to understanding modes of variability in the Bering Sea ice/ocean/ecosystem (S3-7497)
(pdf, 0.5 Mb)
Geir Huse, Webjørn Melle, Morten Skogen, Solfrid Hjøllo and Einar Svendsen
A 3D super-individual model with emergent life history and behaviour for Calanus finmarchicus in the Norwegian Sea (S3-7363)
(pdf, 1.2 Mb)
Mary Beth Decker, Lorenzo Ciannelli, Robert R. Lauth, Richard D. Brodeur, Nicholas A. Bond, Carol Ladd, Jeffrey M. Napp, Atsushi Yamaguchi, Patrick H. Ressler, Kristin Cieciel and George L. Hunt, Jr.
Insights into the eastern Bering Sea through a jellyfish lens: Recent trends and tests of predictive models (S3-7501)
(pdf, 1 Mb)
Trond Kristiansen, Charles Stock, Kenneth F. Drinkwater and Enrique N. Curchitser
Effects of climate change on the survival of larval cod (S3-7422)
(pdf, 2.3 Mb)
Kate Hedstrom, Jerome Fiechter, Kenneth A. Rose, Enrique N. Curchitser, Miguel Bernal, Shin-ichi Ito, Salvador Lluch-Cota and Alan Haynie
Development of a climate-to-fish-to-fishers model: Data structures and domain decomposition (S3-7547)
(pdf, 0.7 Mb)
Wolfgang Fennel and H. Radtke
An Eulerian nutrient to fish model (S3-7396)
(waiting for permission)
Daniel Howell, Anatoly Filin, Bjarte Bogstad, Jan Erik Stiansen and Elena Eriksen
Unquantifiable uncertainty in projecting stock response to climate change: Example from NEA cod (S3-7342)
(pdf, 1.6 Mb)
Frode B. Vikebø, Åse Husebø, Aril Slotte and Erling Kåre Stenevik
Ocean variability and recruitment in Norwegian spring-spawning herring (S3-7507)
(pdf, 0.9 Mb)
Neil S. Banas
Limits on predictability in a size-spectral plankton model: A strategy for ensemble forecasting of diverse ecosystems (S3-7523)
(pdf, 0.6 Mb)
Benjamin Planque and U. Lindstrøm
A minimal Barents Sea ecosystem model from first principles (S3-7471)
(pdf, 1.3 Mb)
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      March 15, 2011
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      March 15, 2011
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      October 1 , 2010
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    January 23 , 2011
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      February 23, 2011
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