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Session
8. FIS/POC/BIO Topic Session
Impact of climate variability on marine ecosystems: Understanding functional
responses to facilitate forecasting Co-sponsored by ICES
Co-Convenors: Jürgen
Alheit (Germany), Suam Kim (Korea), Harald Loeng (Norway), James Overland
(U.S.A.) and Yasunori Sakurai (Japan)
Understanding the role of natural variability,
occurring over a variety of temporal and spatial scales is essential
for effective management of marine ecosystems in the wake of predicted
global change. Evidence suggests that climate variability can trigger
regime shifts in marine ecosystems. Regime shifts are characterized
by a re-organization of marine communities, species dominance, and tropho-dynamic
relationships. Often, synchronous shifts occur in aquatic ecosystems
that are separated by thousands of kilometers. This finding suggests
that atmospheric teleconnections are mediating regional system changes.
We postulate that comparative studies of ecosystems that have experienced
regime shifts will provide insights into the expected responses of marine
organisms to climate change. Papers are invited that go beyond simple
pattern matching. The primary focus will be on understanding shifts
in the pelagic realm, including phytoplankton, zooplankton, small pelagic
fishes, gadids, and squids. Preference will be given to research that
provides evidence of the functional responses and relationships that
underlie regime shifts, and to statistical or modeling studies that
successfully simulate observed shifts.
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Hans O. Pörtner (Invited)
Oxygen and capacity limited thermal tolerance (OCLT): Linking climate
to ecosystem change
(S8-6606) (waiting for permission)
Julie E. Keister, Emanuele
Di Lorenzo, Sanae Chiba, Vincent Combes, Cheryl A. Morgan and William
T. Peterson
Climate-related changes in ocean transport control zooplankton biogeography
around the North Pacific basin (S8-6686)
(pdf,
1.5 Mb)
Yury Zuenko, Ludmila
Chernoivanova, Alexander Vdovin and Elena I. Ustinova
Saffron cod fluctuations in the Japan Sea: An evidence of match/mismatch
hypothesis (S8-6816)
(pdf,
0.7 Mb)
William R. Crawford and
James R. Irvine
Climate variability and ecosystem response in Pacific Canadian coastal
waters (S8-6778)
(permission to post denied, contact
presenter)
Kazuaki Tadokoro,
Yuji Okazaki, Tsuneo Ono and Hiroya Sugisaki (Invited)
Geographical comparison of the decadal-scale variations in marine ecosystems
in the North Pacific Ocean (S8-6611)
(pdf,
1.7 Mb)
Ken Drinkwater, Glen
Harrison, Erica Head, Padmini Dalpadado, Jim Carscadden and George Lilly
Comparison of the ecosystem responses to climate forcing and fishing between
the Labrador Sea and the Norwegian/Barents seas (S8-6753)
(pdf,
1.6 Mb)
Jürgen Alheit, Michele Casini, Wulff Greve, Thomas Pohlmann,
Anne Sell, Ralf Vorberg and Carola Wagner
Climate variability drives anchovies and sardines into North and Baltic
Seas (S8-6844) (waiting for permission)
Joachim P. Gröger, Gordon H. Kruse and Norbert Rohlf
Climate cycles and population dynamics of North Sea herring (S8-6427)
(pdf,
2.4 Mb)
Anne B. Hollowed, Steven Barbeaux, Ned Cokelet, Stan Kotwicki,
Patrick Ressler and Christopher Wilson
Effects of climate change on pelagic ocean habitats and their potential
role in structuring Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska ecosystems (S8-6841) (waiting for permission)
Shin-ichi Ito, Takeshi Okunishi, Atsushi Kawabata, Hiroshi Kubota,
Akinori Takasuka, Taketo Hashioka, Hiroshi Sumata and Yasuhiro Yamanaka
(Invited)
Multi-trophic level ecosystem modeling for understanding the mechanism of
small pelagic fish species alternation associated with climate regime shifts
(S8-6661)
(pdf,
2.9 Mb)
Richard D. Brodeur, James J. Ruzicka and John H. Steele
Investigating alternate trophic pathways through gelatinous zooplankton,
krill, and planktivorous fishes in an upwelling ecosystem using end-to-end
models (S8-6641)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
William J. Sydeman, Jarrod A. Santora, Sarah Ann Thompson, Kyra
L. Mills, John C. Field, Brian K. Wells, Baldo Marinovic and Bryan A. Black
Numerical responses of krill predators to variation in krill abundance and
spatial organization (S8-6790)
(pdf,
1.2 Mb)
Seokjin Yoon, Hiroya Abe and Michio J. Kishi
Variance estimation of the growth and food sources of the Manila clam by
global warming in a subarctic lagoon, Japan (S8-6822) (waiting
for permission)
Harald Loeng
Impacts of climate change on the Arctic Ocean and adjacent seas (S8-6600)
(pdf,
2.5 Mb)
Franz J. Mueter (Invited)
Long-term forecasts of walleye pollock dynamics in the eastern Bering Sea
based on estimated responses of recruitment and growth to climate variability
(S8-6805)
(pdf,
0.5 Mb)
Bryan A. Black, Isaac D. Schroeder, William J. Sydeman, Steven
J. Bograd and Brian K. Wells
Winter and summer upwelling modes and their biological relevance in the
California Current Ecosystem (S8-6541)
(pdf,
3 Mb)
Masahide Kaeriyama, Hideaki Kudo, Hideki Kaeriyama and Katherine
W. Myers
Spacio-temporal changes in the feeding pattern of Pacific salmon, Oncorhynchus
spp., in the North Pacific Ocean ecosystems during 1958–2009 (S8-6526)
(pdf,
1 Mb)
Melissa A. Haltuch and André E. Punt
On the promises and pitfalls of including decadal-scale climate forcing
of recruitment in demersal fish stock assessment (S8-6572)
(pdf,
0.6 Mb)
Yongjun Tian, Hideaki Kidokoro and Tsuneo Goto
Long-term changes in the condition factor of small pelagic fishes in the
Japan Sea and the impact of the late 1980s regime shift (S8-6500)
(pdf,
0.5 Mb)
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