WWW PICES
Report 34 (September 2008)

Forecasting Climate Impacts on Future Production of Commercially Exploited Fish and Shellfish

   
  Full report [pdf, 0.8 MB] (Right-click and choose "Save Target As..." to save it on your computer)
  TABLE OF CONTENTS:
  Foreword [pdf, < 0.1 MB]
  Acknowledgements
   
  PHASE 1 [pdf, 0.2 MB]
  Summary of the PICES/NPRB Workshop on Forecasting Climate Impacts on Future Production of Commercially Exploited Fish and Shellfish (July 19–20, 2007, Seattle, U.S.A.)
    Background
    Links to Other Programs
    Workshop Format
      Session I. Status of climate change scenarios in the PICES region
      Session II. What are the expected impacts of climate change on regional oceanography and
what are some scenarios for these drivers for the next 10 years?
      Session III. Recruitment forecasting
      Session IV. What models are out there? How is climate linked to the model?
      Session V. Assumptions regarding future fishing scenarios and enhancement activities
      Session VI Where do we go from here?
    References
    Appendix 1.1 List of Participants
         
  PHASE 2 [pdf, 0.7 MB]
  Summary of the PICES/NPRB Workshop on Forecasting Climate Impacts on Future Production of Commercially Exploited Fish and Shellfish (October 30, 2007, Victoria, Canada)
    Background
    Workshop Agenda
    Forecast Feasibility
    Format of Information
    Modeling Approaches
      Coupled bio-physical models
      Stock assessment projection models
      Comparative approaches
    Similarities in Data Requests
    Opportunities for Coordination with Other PICES Groups and International Efforts
         
  BACKGROUND REPORTS PREPARED FOR THE PHASE 2 WORKSHOP
    Northern California Current (U.S.) groundfish production
      by Melissa Haltuch
    Changes in sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) recruitment in relation to oceanographic conditions
      by Michael J. Schirripa
    Northern California Current (British Columbia) Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) production
      by Caihong Fu and Richard Beamish
    Northern California Current (British Columbia) sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) production
      by Richard Beamish
    Northern California Current (British Columbia) pink (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and chum (O. keta)
      salmon production by Richard Beamish
    Northern California Current (British Columbia) ocean shrimp (Pandalus jordani) production
      by Caihong Fu
    Alaska salmon production
      by Anne Hollowed
    U.S. walleye pollock (Theragra chalcogramma) production in the eastern Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska
      by Kevin Bailey and Anne Hollowed
    U.S. groundfish production in the eastern Bering Sea
      by Tom Wilderbuer
    U.S. crab production in the eastern Bering Sea
      by Gordon H. Kruse
    Forecasting Japanese commercially exploited species
      by Shin-ichi Ito, Kazuaki Tadokoro and Yasuhiro Yamanka
    Russian fish production in the Japan/East Sea
      by Yury Zuenko, Vladimir Nuzhdin and Natalia Dolganova
    Chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) production in Korea
      by Sukyung Kang, Suam Kim and Hyunju Seo
    Jack mackerel (Trachurus japonicus) production in Korea
      by Jae Bong Lee and Chang-Ik Zhang
    Chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) production in Korea
      by Jae Bong Lee, Sukyung Kang, Suam Kim, Chang-Ik Zhang and Jin Yeong Kim
    References
    Appendix 2.1 List of Participants
         
  PHASE 3 [pdf, < 0.1 MB]
  Summary of the PICES Workshop on Linking Global Climate Model Output to (a) Trends in Commercial Species Productivity and (b) Changes in Broader Biological Communities in the World’s Oceans
  (May 18, 2008, Gijón, Spain)
    Appendix 3.1 List of Participants
    Appendix 3.2 Workshop Agenda
         
 
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