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    Report 34 (September 2008)

    Forecasting Climate Impacts on Future Production of Commercially Exploited Fish and Shellfish

       
      Full report [pdf, 0.8 MB] (Right-click and choose "Save Target As..." to save it on your computer)
      TABLE OF CONTENTS:
      Foreword [pdf, < 0.1 MB]
      Acknowledgements
       
      PHASE 1 [pdf, 0.2 MB]
      Summary of the PICES/NPRB Workshop on Forecasting Climate Impacts on Future Production of Commercially Exploited Fish and Shellfish (July 19–20, 2007, Seattle, U.S.A.)
        Background
        Links to Other Programs
        Workshop Format
          Session I. Status of climate change scenarios in the PICES region
          Session II. What are the expected impacts of climate change on regional oceanography and
    what are some scenarios for these drivers for the next 10 years?
          Session III. Recruitment forecasting
          Session IV. What models are out there? How is climate linked to the model?
          Session V. Assumptions regarding future fishing scenarios and enhancement activities
          Session VI Where do we go from here?
        References
        Appendix 1.1 List of Participants
             
      PHASE 2 [pdf, 0.7 MB]
      Summary of the PICES/NPRB Workshop on Forecasting Climate Impacts on Future Production of Commercially Exploited Fish and Shellfish (October 30, 2007, Victoria, Canada)
        Background
        Workshop Agenda
        Forecast Feasibility
        Format of Information
        Modeling Approaches
          Coupled bio-physical models
          Stock assessment projection models
          Comparative approaches
        Similarities in Data Requests
        Opportunities for Coordination with Other PICES Groups and International Efforts
             
      BACKGROUND REPORTS PREPARED FOR THE PHASE 2 WORKSHOP
        Northern California Current (U.S.) groundfish production
          by Melissa Haltuch
        Changes in sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) recruitment in relation to oceanographic conditions
          by Michael J. Schirripa
        Northern California Current (British Columbia) Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) production
          by Caihong Fu and Richard Beamish
        Northern California Current (British Columbia) sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) production
          by Richard Beamish
        Northern California Current (British Columbia) pink (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) and chum (O. keta)
          salmon production by Richard Beamish
        Northern California Current (British Columbia) ocean shrimp (Pandalus jordani) production
          by Caihong Fu
        Alaska salmon production
          by Anne Hollowed
        U.S. walleye pollock (Theragra chalcogramma) production in the eastern Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska
          by Kevin Bailey and Anne Hollowed
        U.S. groundfish production in the eastern Bering Sea
          by Tom Wilderbuer
        U.S. crab production in the eastern Bering Sea
          by Gordon H. Kruse
        Forecasting Japanese commercially exploited species
          by Shin-ichi Ito, Kazuaki Tadokoro and Yasuhiro Yamanka
        Russian fish production in the Japan/East Sea
          by Yury Zuenko, Vladimir Nuzhdin and Natalia Dolganova
        Chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) production in Korea
          by Sukyung Kang, Suam Kim and Hyunju Seo
        Jack mackerel (Trachurus japonicus) production in Korea
          by Jae Bong Lee and Chang-Ik Zhang
        Chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) production in Korea
          by Jae Bong Lee, Sukyung Kang, Suam Kim, Chang-Ik Zhang and Jin Yeong Kim
        References
        Appendix 2.1 List of Participants
             
      PHASE 3 [pdf, < 0.1 MB]
      Summary of the PICES Workshop on Linking Global Climate Model Output to (a) Trends in Commercial Species Productivity and (b) Changes in Broader Biological Communities in the World’s Oceans
      (May 18, 2008, Gijón, Spain)
        Appendix 3.1 List of Participants
        Appendix 3.2 Workshop Agenda
             
     
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