D2 Presentations
Contemporary and next generation climate and oceanographic models, technical advances and new approaches
 
 
Please NOTE the content of the following Presentations cannot be used without authors' permissions.
To download and save these files on your local machine, right-click on the link and choose "Save Target As..."
 
 
 
 

Co-Convenors:
Jonathan Hare (Northeast Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Shin-ichi Ito (Tohoku National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)

 
The projection of marine ecosystem response to future climate scenarios is needed to assess and implement marine ecosystem management. The marine ecosystem is part of the earth system, and prediction of ecosystem responses requires integrated knowledge from physical, chemical, and biological perspectives, as well as from marine, terrestrial and atmospheric perspectives. The earth system is complex with non-linear feedbacks (including biological to physical), regime shifts, and, in some cases, thresholds beyond which change is irreversible. Therefore, the uncertainties of climate and oceanographic models cause uncertainties of the projection of marine ecosystem response not only directly but also through complex feedback mechanisms. To reduce the uncertainties of the marine ecosystem projection, we must understand the mechanisms controlling climate systems and the linkages to marine ecosystems. Specific species responses to future ecosystem conditions are required by natural resource managers, and these require specific information (e.g., environments in coastal area during the short spawning period) as well as information regarding change of the ecosystem as a whole (e.g., total primary production, food-web dynamics). These issues are not part of climate modeling, but mechanistic links between the biological, physical, and chemical systems must be identified and incorporated into coupled population-ecosystem-climate models. Technical advances and new approaches are essential to achieve the goal of producing better projections of marine ecosystem response to future climate scenarios. This session will focus on climate and oceanographic models, including modeling of climate and ecosystem interaction, and technical advances and new approaches.
 

Wednesday, April 28 (14:30-18:30)

   

14:35

Michio Kawamiya (Invited)
Global change projection for ocean biogeochemistry and ecosystem (D2-6117)
(pdf, 1.2 Mb)

   

15:00

Masami Nonaka, Bunmei Taguchi, Hideharu Sasaki and Hisashi Nakamura
Decadal variability in the oceanic frontal zones in the western North Pacific Ocean in an eddy-resolving OGCM (D2-6325)
(waiting for permission)

   

15:15

Georgina A. Gibson, Kate Hedström, Enrique N. Curchitser and Albert J. Hermann
Simulating lower trophic level ecosystem dynamics in the Bering Sea (D2-6209)
(waiting for permission)

   

15:30

Yasumasa Miyazawa, Xinyu Guo, Ruo Chao Zhang, Sergey M. Varlamov, Tomowo Watanabe, Takashi Setou and Daisuke Ambe
Roles of the in-situ observations in the detection of the Kuroshio frontal variability south of Japan (D2-6324)
(pdf, 1.6 Mb)

   

15:45

Enrique N. Curchitser, Kate Hedström, William Large and Jon Wolf
From a climate to a multi-scale earth system model: Technical issues and advances (D2-6357)
(pdf, 0.6 Mb)

   

16:20

Anand Gnanadesikan (Invited)
Climate models and fisheries: Opportunities and challenges (D2-6123)
(pdf, 0.8 Mb)

   

16:45

Kosei Komatsu, Naoki Yoshie, Shin-ichi Ito, Takahiko Kameda, Tsuneo Ono, Kiyotaka Hidaka, Toru Hasegawa, Akira Kuwata, Miwa Nakamachi, Yuji Okazaki, Takeshi Okunishi, Kazuaki Tadokoro, Hiroaki Saito and Yasuhiro Yamanaka
Interannual variations of 3D structures of lower-trophic-level ecosystems in the western North Pacific using a new marine ecosystem model based on an eddy-resolving data-assimilative OGCM (D2-6323)
(waiting for permission)

   

17:00

Francisco E. Werner, Peter H. Wiebe and Jonathan A. Hare
Developing a modeling framework for basin scale models of marine ecosystems (D2-6348)
(pdf, 1.5 Mb)

   

17:15

Michio J. Kishi, Shin-ichi Ito, Bernard A. Megrey, Kenneth A. Rose and Francisco E. Werner
A review of the NEMURO.FISH model application to marine ecosystem investigations and its ability to evaluate responses of fish to future climate change (D2-6298)
(pdf, 1 Mb)

   

17:30

Scott Condie, Mark Hepburn, Jim Mansbridge and Phillip England
A second generation online tool for exploring oceanographic connectivity (D2-6051)
(pdf, 1 Mb)

   

17:45

Takashi T. Sakamoto, Yoshiki Komuro, Masayoshi Ishii, Hiroaki Tatebe, Akira Hasegawa, Hideo Shiogama, Takahiro Toyoda, Masato Mori, Seita Emori, Hiroyasu Hasumi and Masahide Kimoto
MIROC4.0 – A high-resolution AOGCM for the near-term climate prediction (D2-6337)
(pdf, 1.7 Mb)

   

18:00

William Peterson, Hongsheng Bi, Cheryl A. Morgan and Edmundo Casillas
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation and marine food webs in the northern California Current: Variations in source waters which feed the California Current may be the mechanism which links climate change with ecosystem response (D2-6384)
(waiting for permission)

   

18:15

Maria A. Gasalla, O. Sato and P.S. Polito
An application of the ethno-oceanographic framework to study global change issues off the South Brazil Bight with remote-sensing data (D2-6388)
(waiting for permission)

 

 
 
 
 
  • Symposium Scope
  • Venue
  • Organizers
  • Speakers
  • Scientific Program
         Sessions
         Workshops
  • Schedule
  • Registration Summary
  • Book of Abstracts
  • Publication
  • Presentations
  • Symposium Announcement
  • Contact
       
    Important Dates
    July 1 , 2010
  • Manuscript submission deadline has been extended until July 1.
    On-line submission will be open on May 17.

    January 15, 2010
  • Abstract acceptance notification
    January 25-29, 2010
  • Notification of financial support grant
    February 5, 2010
    extended
  • Early registration deadline
    February 5, 2010
  • Presenters must confirm their attendance and presentations
    April 25-29 , 2010
  • Symposium and associated workshops
       
    © All content copyright PICES 2009. All Rights Reserved.  Web Site Design by PICES. Contact webmaster: Julia Yazvenko
    © Image credit NOAA