P2 Presentations
Forecasting impacts: From fish to markets
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Manuel Barange (GLOBEC International Project Office)
Jacquelynne King (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Adolf Kellermann (International Council for the Exploration of the Sea)
Ian Perry (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)


Climate change direct impacts on marine populations will alter the provision of food from our oceans to our markets. At the same time, the on-going process of economic globalization will modify or exacerbate the vulnerability of fish production systems to climate change at global, regional and local level. Policy and management agencies will require scientific advice on the potential impacts that climate change (and its associated economic developments) will have on the availability of fish populations to fisheries, markets and consumers. This session will focus on (1) forecasting changes in marine population dynamics as they relate to fisheries (e.g., impacts on catchability or maximum sustainable yield), to processing and market demands (e.g., changes in size-at-age), to market forces (e.g., changes in price and trade) and to food security (e.g., collective vulnerability analysis); (2) quantifying the uncertainty of these forecasts in risk assessment frameworks useful to resource managers; and (3) exploring the interactivity between the ecosystem and market dynamics.


Monday, April 26 (11:00-13:00)



Gorka Merino, Manuel Barange, Christian Mullon, Robert Holmes, Julia L. Blanchard and Lynda Rodwell
Global environmental change scenarios for the world’s small pelagic fisheries and global fishmeal and oil markets (P2-6119)
(pdf, 1.4 Mb)



Gakushi Ishimura, Samuel Herrick and Ussif Rashid Sumaila
Can there be stable, cooperative exploitation of a transboundary fish stock under climate variability? A game analysis on the Pacific sardine fishery in the California Current (P2-6290)
(pdf, 1.4 Mb)



Timothy Pickering, Ben Ponia, Cathy Hair, Paul Southgate, Elvira S. Poloczanska, Luc Della Patrona, Antoine Teitelbaum, C.V. Mohan and Michael Phillips
Vulnerability of aquaculture to climate change in the Pacific (P2-6398)
(waiting for permission)



Alan Haynie and Lisa Pfeiffer
Modeling fleet behavior in the Bering Sea pollock fishery under climate change (P2-6359)
Permission to post denied. Contact Author for presentation



Marie-Caroline Badjeck and Tania Mendo Aguilar Wosnitza
Scenarios for the future: Drivers of change in the Peruvian fisheries sector (P2-6367)
(pdf, 1.1 Mb)



Ana Norman-López and Sean Pascoe
The effect of climate change on fishing behaviour in the Eastern Tuna and Billfish Fishery (P2-6071)
(waiting for permission)



Ussif Rashid Sumaila, William L. Cheung and Vicky W.Y. Lam
Impact of climate change on marine resources food security and local economies in West African countries (P2-6230)
(waiting for permission)



Maria A. Gasalla, R. Pincinato and I. Belkin
Ocean proxies for seafood market variability in the South Brazil Bight (P2-6386)
(waiting for permission)



  • Symposium Scope
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  • Book of Abstracts
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    Important Dates
    July 1 , 2010
  • Manuscript submission deadline has been extended until July 1.
    On-line submission will be open on May 17.

    January 15, 2010
  • Abstract acceptance notification
    January 25-29, 2010
  • Notification of financial support grant
    February 5, 2010
  • Early registration deadline
    February 5, 2010
  • Presenters must confirm their attendance and presentations
    April 25-29 , 2010
  • Symposium and associated workshops
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