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Session 1. Climate variability versus anthropogenic impacts; analysing their separate and combined effects on long-term physical, biogeochemical and ecological patterns

Sanae Chiba (JAMSTEC, Japan)
Nicholas A. Bond (JISAO, University of Washington, USA)

Invited Speakers:
Nathan Bindoff (University of Tasmania, Australia)
Shin-ichi Uye (Hiroshima University, Japan)

There is a strong scientific consensus that human-induced global warming is occurring, with this signal having been detected even into the deep ocean. The effects of climate change are not restricted to just temperature, but also have been observed in water properties such as pH and oxygen concentrations. The world’s oceans will continue to be influenced by natural variability over a range of temporal and spatial scales, which can obscure anthropogenic effects. The confounding effects of intrinsic fluctuations in the physical forcing can be especially challenging to sort out for marine ecosystems, due to the complexity of the interactions controlling the biogeochemistry of the ocean. But that challenge needs to be met in order to be able to predict probable shifts and trends in the structure
and function of marine ecosystems, and to carry out effective mitigation. This session consists of papers on topics related to disentangling natural variability from anthropogenic climate change with respect to marine ecosystems.
We expect papers featuring a variety of approaches, and lively discussions of their relative merits and limitations.

Tuesday, May 15, Day 1

Shin-ichi Uye
Jellyfish blooms as consequences of human perturbed environment and ecosystems (S1-7975), Invited
[pdf, 1.6 Mb]


Sanae Chiba, Tomoko Yoshiki, Kosei Sasaoka, Hiroya Sugisaki, Tsuneo Ono and Sonia Batten
Lower trophic level linkage and cool-warm cycle based on the North Pacific CPR survey 2001- 2009: An implication for the future warming ocean (S1-8225)
[pdf, 3.2 Mb]


Antonio Bode, M. Teresa Álvarez-Ossorio, A. Miranda and Manuel Ruiz-Villarreal
Shifts between gelatinous and crustacean plankton in a coastal upwelling region (S1-7963)
[pdf, 2.7 Mb]


Ting-Chun Kuo, Janet Nye, Franz J. Mueter, Nicholas K. Dulvy and Chih-hao Hsieh
Environmental sensitivity of latitudinal shifts in marine fishes depends on latitude and fishing effects (S1-7982)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)

Dave Checkley, Julie Jones, Shoshiro Minobe, Yoshioki Oozeki, Ryan R. Rykaczewski, Carl D. van der Lingen, Nadine Moroff and Anja Kreiner
Long-term fluctuations of sardine populations in relation to dominant modes of high-latitude climate variability (S1-8254)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
Roksana Jahan and Joong Ki Choi
Estuarine phytoplankton responses to climate change: Gyeonggi Bay long-term surveys (S1-7970)
Christian Möllmann, Justus van Beusekom, Rabea Diekmann, Jens Floeter and Axel Temming
Climate and anthropogenic effects on structure and functioning of the North Sea ecosystem (S1-8145)
[pdf, 0.7 Mb]
Stefano Ciavatta, Claudia Halsband-Lenk, Claire Widdicombe, Steve Coombs, Davis Sims and Tim Smyth
Impact of climate events on trophic dynamics in coastal ecosystems (S1-8142)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
Jonne Kotta, Velda Lauringson and Arno Põllumäe
Effects of eutrophication and climate change on the benthic and pelagic environments in the brackish Baltic Sea: What are their consequences to the water quality assessment? (S1-8037)
Aiko Tachibana, Hideaki Nomura and Takashi Ishimaru
Long-term variation of the copepod community structure in Tokyo Bay, Japan (S1-8252)
Wednesday, May 16, Day 2
Nathaniel L. Bindoff, Paul Halloran, Oliver Andrews, Corinne Le Quéré, Catia Domingues and Helen E. Phillips
Are the observed pattern changes of ocean heat, salinity and oxygen man made? (S1-8209), Invited
[pdf, 1.9 Mb]
Nicholas A. Bond, Muyin Wang and Phyllis J. Stabeno
Which climate change signals in the North Pacific are liable to emerge sooner and stronger? (S1-7991)
[pdf, 1 Mb]
Olga Trusenkova
Regional patterns of interannual sea level variability: Case of the Japan/East Sea (S1-7954)
[pdf, 1.3 Mb]
Svetlana P. Shkorba, Vladimir I. Ponomarev, Elena V. Dmitrieva and Lubov N. Kuimova
Long wave of interdecadal oscillation in moderate latitude of the Asian Pacific (S1-8014)
[pdf, 0.9 Mb]
Joji Ishizaka, Yongjiu Xu, Hisashi Yamaguchi and Eko Siswanto
Influence of Changjiang discharge, resuspension of sediment and eutrophication to chlorophyll variability in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea: Results from new satellite data set (S1-8045)
[pdf, 1.6 Mb]
Yun Ho Kang, Se-Jong Ju, Kyoung-Soon Shin, Sang-Duk Choi, Kyeong-Ho Han and Ho-Seop Yoon
Simulating ecosystem response to climate change, thermal waste discharge and reclamation in a highly industrialized bay (S1-8034)
[pdf, 0.8 Mb]
Jong-Yeon Park, Jong-Seong Kug and Young-Gyu Park
Bio-physical interaction in the tropical Pacific (S1-8005)
[pdf, 5.2 Mb]
Alexander Demidov, Eugene Krayushkin, Nina Kalshnikova and Sergey Chereshnyuk
Water mass structure in the South Atlantic and its decadal variability (S1-8036)
[pdf, 3 Mb]
James R. Christian
Detection of anthropogenic influences on ocean biogeochemistry (S1-8295)
[pdf, 1.2 Mb]
Svetlana Pakhomova, Elena Vinogradova, Evgeny Yakushev, Andrey Zatsepin, Valery Chasovnikov and Oleg I. Podymov
Presented by Evgeny Yakushev on behalf of Svetlana Pakhomova
Black Sea biogeochemical regime recent decades variability: The role of climatic and anthropogenic forcing (S1-8051)
[pdf, 0.7 Mb]
Fabricio V. Branco, Bruno Biazeto, Ricardo de Camargo, Ilana Wainer, Jose Edson, Daniel Moita, Bruno Ferrero, Pedro P. Lopes, Tiago Bomventi, Christiano Campos, Marcelo Andrioni and Andre L.T. Mendes
South Atlantic wave climate under climate change impacts (S1-8230)
[pdf, 3.5 Mb]
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    Important Dates
    August 1 , 2011
  • Abstract submission opens
  • Financial support application opens
  • Registration opens
    September 15 , 2011
  • Deadline for submissions of proposals and workshops
    September 30 , 2011
  • Workshop acceptance notification
    January 13 , 2012
  • Abstract submission deadline (extended)
  • Financial support application deadline (extended)
  • Early registration deadline (extended)
    February 6 , 2012
  • Abstract acceptance notification
  • Financial support grant notification
    May 14-20 , 2012
  • Symposium and associated workshops
    June 15 , 2012
  • Manuscript submission deadline
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