Scientific Program (Apr. 25 - Apr. 29)
 
     
 

Scientific sessions will include invited and contributed papers. Contributed papers have been selected for oral or poster presentation.

Two evening poster sessions (with appetizers and drinks) will be held from 18:30-21:00 on April 27 and 28, when poster presenters are expected to be available to answer questions. Maximum poster dimensions are 1.6 m high and 1 m wide (Portrait-oriented).

All coffee breaks and refreshments will be served in the poster area to maximize opportunities to see these contributions and to interact with the presenters.

The day preceding the symposium (Sunday, April 25) will be devoted to
Topical Workshops proposed by the science community.

Changes:
Tarub Bahri will make an Invited Talk in C1 Session on behalf of Kevern Cochrane
P1 and D1 Sessions have been joined into P1-D1 (April 26)
A2 Session will be held on Apr. 26 (afternoon) and Apr. 27 (morning).
B2 Session will be held on Apr. 28

Joined P1-D1 Session (Day 1, Apr. 26)
Forecasting impacts: From climate to fish

Co-Convenors:
Kenneth Drinkwater (Institute of Marine Research, Norway)
Harald Loeng (Institute of Marine Research, Norway)
Yasuhiro Yamanaka (Hokkaido University, Japan)
Franz Mueter (School of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences, University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA)
Carl O'Brien (Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, UK)

Invited Speakers:
Randall Peterman (Simon Fraser University, Canada)
Kevin Trenberth (National Center for Atmospheric Research, NOAA, USA)
Akihiko Yatsu (Seikai National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)

This session seeks papers on the impacts of future climate change on the physical oceanography, biogeochemistry, and food webs of the world oceans. This includes contributions on appropriate methods for determining impact projections and estimating levels of uncertainty as well as actual development of ecosystem scenarios. Presentations will be considered on downscaling from global models and the problems involved to produce regional future climate and physical oceanographic scenarios; scenarios of climate-induced changes in nutrient dynamics and other biogeochemical processes, changes in ecosystem community structure and function from phytoplankton and zooplankton through to fish populations. These include changes in production and distribution and their influence upon biodiversity.

Email your questions to P1 Convenors
Email your questions to P1 Invited Speakers

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P2 Session (Day 1, Apr. 26)
Forecasting impacts: From fish to markets

Co-Convenors:
Manuel Barange (GLOBEC International Project Office)
Jacquelynne King (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Ian Perry (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)

Invited Speakers:
Eddie Allison (WorldFish, Malaysia)
Rashid Sumaila (Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, Canada)

Climate change direct impacts on marine populations will alter the provision of food from our oceans to our markets. At the same time, the on-going process of economic globalization will modify or exacerbate the vulnerability of fish production systems to climate change at global, regional and local level. Policy and management agencies will require scientific advice on the potential impacts that climate change (and its associated economic developments) will have on the availability of fish populations to fisheries, markets and consumers. This session will focus on changes in marine population dynamics as they relate to fisheries (e.g., impacts on catchability or maximum sustainable yield), to processing and market demands (e.g., changes in size-at-age), to market forces (e.g., changes in price and trade) and to food security (e.g., collective vulnerability analysis). We invite papers that forecast these types of changes, quantify the uncertainty of these forecasts in risk assessment frameworks useful to resource managers, and/or explore the interactivity between the ecosystem and market dynamics.

Email your questions to P2 Convenors
Email your questions to P2 Invited Speakers

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A1 Session (Day 2, Apr. 27)
Downscaling variables from global models

Co-Convenors:
Michael Foreman (Institute of Ocean Sciences, DFO, Canada)
Jason Holt (Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory, UK)

Invited Speakers:
Icarus Allen (Plymouth Marine Laboratory, UK)
Muyin Wang (University of Washington, USA)

Analyses and summaries recently presented in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicate that many of the dramatic changes observed in the circulation and physical characteristics of the oceans over the past century will continue in the future. As one of the major limitations of the global climate models that are used to estimate these future projections is their relatively coarse resolution, statistical or dynamical downscaling is often needed to provide sufficient spatial detail in the variables of interest. In this session, we solicit presentations that address the downscaling of global climate model variables relevant to marine ecosystems. Papers describing downscaling techniques and/or their application to particular regions or variables are welcome. Presentations that analyze global climate models projections, or results from higher-resolution regional ocean, or coupled atmosphere-ocean, models that are forced by, and take their boundary conditions from, global climate models, are also encouraged.

Email your questions to A1 Convenors
Email your questions to A1 Invited Speakers

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B1 Session (Day 2, Apr. 27)
Assessing ecosystem responses: Impacts on community structure, biodiversity, energy flow and carrying capacity

Co-Convenors:
Thomas Okey (Pew Fellow / UVic / Bamfield Marine Station, Canada)
Akihiko Yatsu (Seikai National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)

Invited Speakers:
Beth Fulton (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Australia)
Jeff Polovina (Pacific Island Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)

Assessing effects of climate change on marine ecosystems (i.e., biological communities) is a major challenge, mainly because (1) future changes in physical forcing, such as water temperature, will exceed historically observed values, and (2) biological responses or adaptations to these changes are highly uncertain, particularly over a long time period. Changes in geographic ranges, vertical distributions, phenologies, population structures, and productivities will differ among individual species thereby altering the connectivities and functions of ecosystem components, including predator-prey relationships and competition, species assembly, community structure, biodiversity, energy flow, and carrying capacity. This session invites studies on retrospective analyses on changes in freshwater, coastal, and offshore ecosystems/communities, experimental studies on species interactions under climate-change-related conditions, and conceptual and numerical modelling of ecosystems relevant to climate change.

Email your questions to B1 Convenors
Email your questions to B1 Invited Speakers

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A2 Session (Day 2 and Day 3, Apr. 26 and Apr. 27)
Species-specific responses: Changes in growth, reproductive success, mortality, spatial distribution, and adaptation

Co-Convenors:
Richard Beamish (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Myron Peck (Center for Marine and Climate Research, University of Hamburg, Germany)

Invited Speakers:
John Pinnegar (Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Studies, UK)
Hans-Otto Pörtner (Alfred Wegener Institute, Germany)

Climate is now recognized as a major factor affecting the productivity of key species in world fisheries. The mechanisms that link climate to fish productivity need to be better understood to ensure that natural and greenhouse gas induced climate changes are incorporated into the management of fisheries. Population-level changes in commercially and ecologically important marine fish species may result from climate-driven changes in organismal-level vital rates (e.g., changes in growth, reproductive success and mortality). Furthermore, expansion, contraction and/or shifts in the distribution of fish stocks will result from changes in suitable habitats (habitats that allow connectivity among life stages, life cycle closure and successful recruitment). The extent of climate-driven changes will be mediated by the capacity for individual species (or populations) to adapt to changes in important abiotic and biotic factors. Adaptations could include both changes in the phenology of important life history events (e.g., migration, spawning) and/or physiological changes (e.g., thermal reaction norms of key traits such as growth, increased tolerance to lowered pH / ocean acidification). This session provides a forum for presentations focusing on the response of key fish and fisheries species worldwide to climate change by:
1) documenting historical, long-term fluctuations in abundance and distribution, 2) discussing processes underlying current changes, and/or 3) projecting future impacts in light of adaptive capacity. Key fisheries species include those utilizing marine habitats during any portion of their life cycle and that are commercially or ecologically important marine resources.

Email your questions to A2 Convenors
Email your questions to A2 Invited Speakers

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B2 Session (Day 2, Apr. 28)
Comparing responses to climate variability among nearshore, shelf and oceanic regions

Co-Convenors:
Jürgen Alheit (Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research, Germany)
Vladimir Radchenko (Sakhalin Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography, Russia)

Invited Speakers:
Nicholas Dulvy (Simon Fraser University, Canada)
Svein Sundby (Institute of Marine Research, Norway)

Over the last two decades, convincing evidence has been collected that global and regional climate variability is a strong driving force of changes in marine ecosystems (and the fish and shell fish populations embedded in them). Climate drivers influence near-shore, shelf and oceanic regions, however, the same climate signal may be correlated with different responses of marine populations among these regions, due to the different mechanisms by which climate variability impacts these communities and the role of human activities in modifying these mechanisms, particularly in near-shore areas. Whereas the effect of climate variability has been intensely studied in single marine systems or on single species/species groups across different systems, comparisons of climatic influences on coastal and oceanic systems are generally lacking. As marine ecosystems are not amenable to experimental investigations with respect to climate effects, comparative analyses are the best way to enhance our knowledge on the response of ecosystems and their populations. Ecosystem regime shifts and teleconnection patterns in the reaction of distant marine ecosystems towards climate impacts are important phenomena which help us to better understand responses to climate variability. The goal of this session is to discuss the interactions, ramifications, and potential connections between climate variability and marine ecosystems. Contributions are requested which demonstrate the impact of climate variability with a view to future climate change.

Email your questions to B2 Convenors
Email your questions to B2 Invited Speakers

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Evening Poster Session (Day 2, Apr. 27)

Two evening poster sessions (with appetizers and drinks) will be held from 18:30-20:30 on April 27 and 28, when poster presenters are expected to be available to answer questions. Maximum poster dimensions are 1.6 m high and 1 m wide (Portrait-oriented).

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C1 Session (Day 3, Apr. 28)
Impacts on fisheries and coastal communities

Co-Convenors:
Keith Brander (National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark)
Suam Kim (Pukyong National University, Korea)

Invited Speakers:
Tarub Bahri (Fishery Resources Division, Food and Agriculture Organization)
Ian Perry (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)

Climate change has had an impact on fisheries and coastal communities throughout history, due to environmentally driven fish stock fluctuations, changes in species distribution, extreme events and changes in sea-level. The survival of coastal communities depended on being able to cope with such changes, by altering their fishing practices or switching to alternative livelihoods. In many cases communities did not survive or suffered economic hardship and emigration. Although some adaptability can be expected in response to anthropogenic climate change, the new situation is different in a number of ways. The expected rate of change is rapid and in one direction; most fisheries are already under pressure from overfishing, habitat degradation and other sea and coastal uses; new pressures arise from sea-level rise and ocean acidification. This session seeks papers that provide forecasts of expected impacts of climate change on the coastal fish stocks and the communities that depend on them as well as strategies for survival under a changing climate.

Email your questions to C1 Convenors
Email your questions to C1 Invited Speakers

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C2 Session (Day 3, Apr. 28)
Evaluating human responses, management strategies and economic implications

Co-Convenors:
Kevern Cochrane (Fishery Resources Division, Food and Agriculture Organization)
Jake Rice (Ecosystem Science Directorate, DFO, Canada)

Invited Speakers:
Johann Bell (Policy and Planning Facility, Secretariat of the Pacific Community)
Bonnie McCay (Rutgers the State University, USA)

Humans depend on the oceans for many goods and services essential to their well-being. As terrestrial and marine ecosystems change in response to climate, these dependencies are expected to become even greater, particularly but hardly exclusively for food security. This session will focus on how society, at a range of scales from community to population, might adapt to the changes expected in the oceans, and in the goods and services on which they depend so that optimal benefits may be obtained without unacceptable increases in the risks to the systems. Contributions from social scientists, economists, and policy experts are welcomed, as well as from natural scientists interested in strategies for sustainable use of marine resources in the face of changing human needs as well as changing ocean conditions. Just a few decades in the future, societies and governments may face very difficult choices about the proper balance between provision of food security and conservation of marine biodiversity for an even bigger human population confronted with changing, possibly declining, aquatic and terrestrial food production. The proper balance between established uses of oceans and coastal regions and new uses such as wind and tidal power must also be faced. This session is intended to open an expert dialogue on these important questions, through a mixture of conceptual, analytical, and case-history presentations.

Email your questions to C2 Convenors
Email your questions to C2 Invited Speakers

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D2 Session (Day 3, Apr. 28)
Contemporary and next generation climate and oceanographic models, technical advances and new approaches

Co-Convenors:
Jonathan Hare (Northeast Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Shin-Ichi Ito (Tohoku National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)

Invited Speakers:
Anand Gnanadesikan (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA, USA)
Michio Kawamiya (JAMSTEC, Japan)

The projection of marine ecosystem response to future climate scenarios is needed to assess and implement marine ecosystem management. The marine ecosystem is part of the earth system and prediction of ecosystem responses requires integrated knowledge from physical, chemical, and biological perspectives as well as from marine, terrestrial and atmospheric perspectives. The earth system is complex with non-linear feedbacks (including biological to physical), regime shifts, and, in some cases, thresholds beyond which change is irreversible. Therefore, the uncertainties of climate and oceanographic models cause uncertainties of the projection of marine ecosystem response not only directly but also through complex feedback mechanisms. To reduce the uncertainties of the marine ecosystem projection, we must understand the mechanisms controlling climate systems and the linkages to marine ecosystems. Specific species responses to future ecosystem conditions are required by natural resource managers, and these require specific information (e.g., environments in coastal area during the short spawning period) as well as information regarding change of the ecosystem as a whole (e.g., total primary production, food-web dynamics). These issues are not part of climate modeling, but mechanistic links between the biological, physical, and chemical systems must be identified and incorporated into coupled population-ecosystem-climate models. Technical advances and new approaches are essential to achieve the goal of producing better projections of marine ecosystem response to future climate scenarios. This session will focus on climate and oceanographic models and technical advances and new approaches. Presentations that focus on modeling of climate and ecosystem interaction are also welcome.

Email your questions to D2 Convenors
Email your questions to D2 Invited Speakers

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Evening Poster Session (Day 3, Apr. 28)

Two evening poster sessions (with appetizers and drinks) will be held from 18:30-20:30 on April 27 and 28, when poster presenters are expected to be available to answer questions. Maximum poster dimensions are 1.6 m high and 1 m wide (Portrait-oriented).

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P3 Session (Day 4, Apr. 29)
Sustainable strategies in a warming climate

Co-Convenors:
Anne Hollowed (Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Michael Schirripa (Southeast Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)

Invited Speakers:
Éva Plagányi-Lloyd (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Australia)
Chang Ik Zhang (Pukyong National University, Korea)

Many nations have adopted a goal of building sustainable fisheries. Traditionally, this goal has been pursued through the adoption of precautionary harvest policies that are based on the expected productivity of the stock in a future environmental state. However, these harvest policies seldom explicitly consider how possible future climate change may modify critical aspects of the productivity of the stock. At the single species level, climate change could significantly influence the carrying capacity, the reproductive potential as well as the spatial distribution of the stock. At the multi-species level, climate change may alter the abundance of competitors and predators of species targeted for fishing. Societal changes in the consumption of fish and policies regarding marine ranching and aquaculture may also change the economic factors governing fisheries. This session seeks papers that explore the future of fish and fisheries under a changing climate. We welcome examples of management strategies that could be applied to sustain fisheries under a changing climate and techniques for assessing and forecasting the performance of harvest policies under changing climate. This session is also open to new and novel modeling techniques designed to take into account an uncertain future and/or non-equilibrium conditions in fish, fishing fleets, management, and the marketing of seafood products. This could range from how future fishing vessels may be outfitted to best adapt to a changing climate to how traditional management benchmarks and concepts (maximum sustainable yield, minimum stock size threshold, etc.) could be modified or updated to take climate change into account. Inventive ways to circumvent or adapt to the forecasted impacts of climate change and the uncertainty surrounding it are also of interest.

Email your questions to P3 Convenors
Email your questions to P3 Invited Speakers

 

Workshops (W1 to W6), April 25

W1 Workshop (Apr. 25)
Reducing global and national vulnerability to climate change in the fisheries sectors: Policy perspectives post Copenhagen

Co-Convenors:
Cassandra De Young (Food and Agriculture Organization)
Eddie Allison (WorldFish Center, Malaysia on behalf of the Global Partnership on Climate, Fisheries and Aquaculture (PaCFA))

Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W1 Convenors

 

W2 Workshop (Apr. 25)
Potential impacts of ocean acidification on marine ecosystems and fisheries

Co-Convenors:
Kenneth Denman (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, DFO, Canada)
Yukihiro Nojiri (National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan)
Hans Pörtner (Alfred-Wegener Institute, Germany)

Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W2 Convenors

 

W3 Workshop (Apr. 25)
Coupled climate-to-fish-to-fishers models for understanding mechanisms underlying low frequency fluctuations in small pelagic fish and projecting its future

Co-Convenors:
Salvador Lluch-Cota (Centro de Investigaciones Biologicas del Noroeste (CIBNOR), Mexico)
Enrique Curchitser (Institute for Marine and Coastal Sciences, Rutgers University, USA)
Shin-ichi Ito (Tohoku National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)

Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W3 Convenors

 

W4 Workshop (Apr. 25)
Salmon workshop on climate change

Co-Convenors:
James Irvine (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Masaaki Fukuwaka (Hokkaido National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)
Suam Kim (Pukyong National University, Korea)
Vladimir Radchenko (Sakhalin Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography, Russia)
Loh-Lee Low (Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Shigehiko Urawa (North Pacific Anadromous Fish Commission)

Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W4 Convenors

 

W5 Workshop (Apr. 25)
Networking across global marine "hotspots"

Co-Convenors:
Gretta Pecl (Tasmanian Aquaculture and Fisheries Institute, University of Tasmania, Australia)
Alistair Hobday (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Australia)
Stewart Frusher (Tasmanian Aquaculture and Fisheries Institute, University of Tasmania, Australia)
Warwick Sauer (Rhodes University, South Africa)

Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W5 Convenors

 

W6 Workshop (Apr. 25)
Examining the linkages between physics and fish: How do zooplankton and krill data sets improve our understanding of the impacts of climate change on fisheries?

Co-Convenors:
William Peterson (Hatfield Marine Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Kazuaki Tadokoro (Tohoku National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)

Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W6 Convenors

 
 
 
 
 
  • Symposium Scope
  • Venue
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  • Schedule
  • Registration Summary
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  • Publication
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    Important Dates
    July 1 , 2010
  • Manuscript submission deadline has been extended until July 1.
    On-line submission will be open on May 17.

    January 15, 2010
  • Abstract acceptance notification
    January 25-29, 2010
  • Notification of financial support grant
    February 5, 2010
    extended
  • Early registration deadline
    February 5, 2010
  • Presenters must confirm their attendance and presentations
    April 25-29 , 2010
  • Symposium and associated workshops
       
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