Comparative Studies of Climate Effects on Polar and Sub-Polar Ecosystems:
 Progress in Observation and Prediction
May 22-26, 2011, Seattle, WA, USA
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Session 7
Anticipating socio-economic and policy consequences of global changes in sub-polar and polar marine ecosystems


Keith Criddle (USA)
David Fluharty (USA)
Mitsutaku Makino (Japan)
Ian Perry (Canada)

Invited Speakers:

Anthony Charles (Canada) - presents on May 25, Plenary Session
Mitsutaku Makino (Japan) - presents on May 25, Plenary Session
James McGoodwin (USA) - presents on May 25, Plenary Session

Polar and sub-polar marine systems are expected to be strongly impacted by anticipated climate change, and by anticipated economic development relating to fishing, tourism and, hydrocarbon exploration. Human socioeconomic systems in these regions year-round or seasonally are finely tuned to their present environments, with few alternative livelihood opportunities, and are also expected to be severely affected by these changes. This session will explore the potential for anticipating socio-economic conditions in coupled polar and sub-polar marine social-ecological systems. It seeks to identify the key policy issues and what policies are needed as these regions experience climate-driven environmental changes and economic development, with the focus on marine-related issues. Policy needs will include requirements for monitoring and observing of the full coupled social-ecological systems. A comparative approach among the different communities and countries of these regions will enable separation of general from regional and local understanding and policy issues. Such an approach could include the roles of seasonal migrants into these regions for marine-related activities. The session specifically seeks papers that address anticipating marine socio-economic aspects of climate change and economic development, anticipated policy needs related to these issues, and the understanding and information needs (e.g. monitoring) required to forecast responses and to formulate policies. Comparative studies at a variety of spatial scales, as well as studies that examine interactions and feedback mechanisms between humans and the environment, are particularly welcome. Publication of a collection of these presentations in a relevant primary journal will be discussed.

Dave Fluharty
Social and economic assessments of the future Arctic: Special cases local and distant (S7-7533)
(pdf, 1.3 Mb)
Alf Håkon Hoel
Fisheries management in the face of climate change: The case of the Arctic (S7-7534)
(pdf, 0.1 Mb)
Alan Haynie and Lisa Pfeiffer
Climate change and location choice in the Pacific cod longline fishery (S7-7485)
(permission to post denied, please contact the author)
Alan Haynie and Lisa Pfeiffer
Modeling the impacts of climate change on fleet behavior in the Bering Sea pollock fishery (S7-7461)
(permission to post denied, please contact the author)
Henry P. Huntington
Fisheries management in newly accessible seas (S7-7465)
(permission to post denied, please contact the author)
James Strong and Keith R. Criddle
Institutional structure and profit maximization in the Eastern Bering Sea fishery for Alaska pollock (S7-7535)
(pdf, 0.7 Mb)
Keith R. Criddle
Cooperative and noncooperative strategies for management of Bering Sea pollock (S7-7380)
(pdf, 4.3 Mb)
Dave Fraser
Rationalization, randomness and romance: A fisher’s response to change in dynamic biophysical, socio-political, and economic systems (S7-7504)
(presentation pdf, 1.4 Mb; notes pdf, < 0.1 Mb)
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    Upcoming Deadlines
      March 15, 2011
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      March 15, 2011
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    Past Deadlines
      October 1 , 2010
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    January 23 , 2011
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      February 23, 2011
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